Tropical Storm Risk’s (TSR) August seasonal forecast suggests that the Northwest Pacific typhoon activity will be comparable to the average of the 20% quietest seasons over the period 1965-2023.
According to TSR’s predictions, the Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) index is expected to be 177, with 6 intense typhoons, 14 typhoons, and 24 tropical storms anticipated for the year.
However, TSR note significant uncertainties in these forecasts due to the unpredictable nature of ENSO developments and the inherent variability in seasonal typhoon activity.
Read the full report here.
This is the third and final Northwest Pacific seasonal forecast published for 2024. Subscribe to receive updates on future forecasts and verifications.
TSR, delivered by EuroTempest, has been providing alerts and forecasts for the insurance, humanitarian, energy, finance and maritime sectors since 1998. Using proprietary algorithms, TSR produces global event-based datasets, of forecast and post-event footprints with unrivalled accuracy.
EuroTempest is the leading provider in Europe of weather risk management services. Our customers across the world include some of the largest (re)insurers, brokers and catastrophe modelling agencies. These companies use our services and data to get better prepared for events as they develop, and for improving their understanding of the weather risks they face.
For more information about TSR’s or EuroTempest’s services, please email neha.shah@eurotempest.com.