July Forecast Update for North Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2024

TSR continues to predict North Atlantic hurricane activity in 2024 will be hyper-active and a
small chance the basin ACE index could be record breaking.

The TSR (Tropical Storm Risk) July forecast update for North Atlantic hurricane activity in
2024 continues to anticipate a hyper-active season with activity almost double the 1991-2020 climate

Very high oceanic heat content across the tropical North Atlantic and Caribbean Sea waters is
expected to continue throughout the hurricane season. Weak La Niña conditions are very likely to
develop and persist through August-September 2024 and into the autumn.

Although some uncertainties remain, especially regarding intra-seasonal elements, these two factors are both expected to have a strong enhancing influence on the upcoming Atlantic hurricane season.

Read the full report here.

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2024-07-08T11:14:23+00:00July 8th, 2024|
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