Early August Forecast for Northwest Pacific Typhoon Activity in 2023

The TSR (Tropical Storm Risk) early August forecast for Northwest Pacific typhoon activity in 2023 continues to anticipate a season with above-norm activity.

TSR uses the strong link between the annual Northwest Pacific ACE index and August-September-October (ASO) ENSO combined with the expectation that the developing moderate El Niño will persist through ASO 2023.

Although some uncertainties remain and the forecast skill at this range is historically moderate to good, TSR anticipates there is a 90% likelihood that Northwest Pacific ACE in 2023 will be above the 1991-2020 30-year norm and anticipates there is a 79% chance Northwest Pacific ACE in 2023 will be in the upper tercile of years 1991-2020.

Read the full report at: https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/docs/TSRNWPForecastAugust2023.pdf

TSR, delivered by EuroTempest, has been providing alerts and forecasts for the insurance, humanitarian, energy, finance and maritime sectors since 2000. Using proprietary algorithms, TSR produces real-time forecast and post-event footprints for major events around the world, with unrivalled accuracy.

EuroTempest is the leading provider in Europe of weather risk management services. Our customers across Europe and in the US include some of the largest (re)insurers, brokers and cat modelling agencies. These companies use our services and data to get better prepared for events as they develop and for improving their understanding of the weather risks they face.

For more information about EuroTempest’s services, please email nick.wood@eurotempest.com. And if you would like to subscribe to our free weather forecasts, seasonal forecasts, weather news or product updates please visit our subscription page.

2023-08-09T14:46:59+00:00August 9th, 2023|
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